Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.34)
0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.4% | 26.2% | 23.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Milazzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 19% | 19% |
| Defense | 88% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
75%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
91%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: CastrumFavara: WD • Milazzo: DD
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Milazzo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Milazzo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.8% | 42.3% |
Advice: Double chance : CastrumFavara or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 1.49 (league 1.34), Milazzo = 0.94 (league 1.06)
| Milazzo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 8.8% | 8.3% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 9.7% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.4% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 23.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1