Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.40)
0.48 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1% | 60.6% | 36.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
59.1%
0 - 1
28.1%
0 - 2
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Gela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 59.1% | 28.1% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 19% | 13% |
| Defense | 94% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
21%
FT probability
2.5+
15%
FT probability
3.5+
11%
FT probability
BTTS
18%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Messina: DW • Gela: DW
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Gela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.05 (league 1.40), Gela = 0.48 (league 1.05)
| Gela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 59.1% | 28.1% | 6.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 3.1% · Draw 60.6% · Away win 36.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1