Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Marco Tomaselli
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.35)
0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 27.4% | 34.0% | 38.5% |
best score tips
0 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
17.5%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nissa | 0 | 18.6% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 44% | 78% |
| Attack | 33% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0.7 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 50% | 33% | 100% | 0% | 67% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Nissa: DLW • CastrumFavara: WDW
League goals
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nissa | CastrumFavara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 100% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-2 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nissa | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 36% | 64% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 43.0% | 57.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or CastrumFavara and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nissa = 0.74 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.94 (league 1.06)
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nissa | 0 | 18.6% | 17.5% | 8.2% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 13.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 34.0% · Away win 38.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1