Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Tupparello
Expected Goals
0.74 (league 1.35)
2.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.1% | 12.7% | 73.5% |
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
0 - 3
10.6%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acireale | 0 | 2.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Acireale | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 44% |
| Attack | 11% | 33% |
| Defense | 44% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.7 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
73%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Acireale | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Acireale: LDL • Messina: DWL
League goals
| Metric | Acireale | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Acireale | Messina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 33% | 100% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 33% | 33% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Acireale | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Acireale | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Acireale | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Acireale | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 17% | 83% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 32.2% | 68.0% |
Advice: Winner : Messina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Acireale = 0.74 (league 1.35), Messina = 2.82 (league 1.06)
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Acireale | 0 | 2.8% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.5% | 4.2% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.1% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 73.5%
Vtot 2 , Vtod1