Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Luigi Razza
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.35)
0.71 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.5% | 26.4% | 17.7% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.6%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vibonese | 0 | 11.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Attack | 25% | 38% |
| Defense | 63% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Vibonese: WDDL • CastrumFavara: WDWL
League goals
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vibonese | CastrumFavara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 100% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 25% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vibonese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 86% | 14% |
| Total | 55.4% | 44.6% |
Advice: Double chance : Vibonese or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vibonese = 1.48 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.71 (league 1.06)
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vibonese | 0 | 11.2% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.6% | 11.7% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.3% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 26.4% · Away win 17.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1