Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Franco Scoglio
Expected Goals
2.80 (league 1.40)
0.95 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.2% | 14.3% | 10.0% |
best score tips
2 - 0
9.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 0
8.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 58% | 17% |
| Attack | 31% | 13% |
| Defense | 75% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 25% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
| Loses | 50% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
Form: Messina: DWLW • Paternò: LDLD
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Paternò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 78% | 22% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 60% | 40% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 69.7% | 30.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 2.80 (league 1.40), Paternò = 0.95 (league 1.05)
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.2% | 8.8% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.0% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.2% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 10.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1