Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Expected Goals
2.23 (league 1.35)
1.22 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 19.8% | 19.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Sambiase | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 58% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 69% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 6 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1.3 | 4 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 100% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
Form: Vigor Lamezia: WLWL • Sambiase: LDWW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 50% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | Sambiase |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.0% | 55.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Vigor Lamezia or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Lamezia = 2.23 (league 1.35), Sambiase = 1.22 (league 1.06)
| Sambiase | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 8.7% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 19.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1