Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio San Filippo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.40) 0.47 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.8% 38.3% 18.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.6%
1 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Reggina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 26.6% 12.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMessinaReggina
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack50%43%
Defense57%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

49%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Messina Reggina
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins0%67%33%67%0%33%
Draws67%33%50%0%67%33%
Loses33%0%17%33%33%33%

Form: Messina: DWLWDD • Reggina: LWDLDW

League goals

Metric Messina Reggina
HATHAT
GF total077527
GF avg0.02.31.21.70.71.2
GA total246336
GA avg0.71.31.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMessinaReggina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%83%50%
1.550%33%33%33%
2.517%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMessinaReggina
HATHAT
Clean sheets202213
Failed to score303011

Penalties

MetricMessinaReggina
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMessinaReggina
Wins11
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-32-0
Biggest losses0-22-32-1
Goals For0321
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricMessinaReggina
Form50%50%
Att54%46%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Reggina and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.84 @ 1xBet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ William Hill
No1.69 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.86 (league 1.40), Reggina = 0.47 (league 1.05)

Reggina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 26.6% 12.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.8% 10.6% 2.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.8% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.8% · Draw 38.3% · Away win 18.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1