Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Alfredo Giraud
Expected Goals
2.14 (league 1.35)
0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5% | 18.2% | 10.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.9%
1 - 0
13.0%
3 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Savoia | 0 | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 71% | 29% |
| Defense | 71% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
68%
FT probability
2.5+
48%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Wins | 33% | 33% | 33% | 67% | 0% | 33% |
| Draws | 67% | 67% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 67% | 33% |
Form: Savoia: DDWWDD • CastrumFavara: WDWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Savoia | CastrumFavara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 83% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 0% | 0% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Savoia | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 71% | 29% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 74% | 26% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 66.3% | 33.8% |
Advice: Winner : Savoia
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Savoia = 2.14 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.66 (league 1.06)
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Savoia | 0 | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.5% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 10.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1