Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.39)
0.09 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.5% | 39.1% | 3.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.1%
1 - 0
33.7%
2 - 0
15.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Ragusa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 36.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 62% | 69% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 33% | 25% | 29% | 75% | 33% | 57% |
| Loses | 0% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% | 43% |
Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDL • Ragusa: DLLDDLD
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Ragusa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 29% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 14% | 0% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 61.4% | 38.6% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : CastrumFavara or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.93 (league 1.39), Ragusa = 0.09 (league 1.04)
| Ragusa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 36.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 33.7% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.5% · Draw 39.1% · Away win 3.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1