Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Filippo
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.39)
0.38 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 19.9% | 55.7% | 24.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
49.4%
0 - 1
18.9%
1 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 49.4% | 18.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 27% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
50%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 25% | 50% | 38% | 75% | 0% | 38% |
| Draws | 50% | 50% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 25% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 75% | 38% |
Form: Messina: DWLWDDWD • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | CastrumFavara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 63% | 63% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | — | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 56% | 44% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 58% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.32 (league 1.39), CastrumFavara = 0.38 (league 1.04)
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 49.4% | 18.9% | 3.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.9% · Draw 55.7% · Away win 24.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1