Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.39) 0.23 (league 1.04)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.9% 60.2% 14.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
55.5%
1 - 0
19.9%
0 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Lamezia 0 55.5% 12.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVigor LameziaGelbison
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack13%50%
Defense38%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

44%
FT probability

2.5+

31%
FT probability

3.5+

22%
FT probability

BTTS

39%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vigor Lamezia Gelbison
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%25%25%25%
Draws25%0%13%25%75%50%
Loses25%75%50%50%0%25%

Form: Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLW • Gelbison: WDLWDDDL

League goals

Metric Vigor Lamezia Gelbison
HATHAT
GF total426437
GF avg1.00.50.81.00.80.9
GA total167527
GA avg0.31.50.91.30.50.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVigor LameziaGelbison
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%50%
1.513%25%25%38%
2.513%13%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVigor LameziaGelbison
HATHAT
Clean sheets314134
Failed to score224134

Penalties

MetricVigor LameziaGelbison
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricVigor LameziaGelbison
Wins11
Draws13
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-02-3
Biggest losses0-13-00-2—
Goals For3123
Goals Against1322

Model comparison

MetricVigor LameziaGelbison
Form40%60%
Att20%80%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gelbison and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Vigor Lamezia = 0.36 (league 1.39), Gelbison = 0.23 (league 1.04)

Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vigor Lamezia 0 55.5% 12.8% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 4.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.9% · Draw 60.2% · Away win 14.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1