Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Marco Tomaselli
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.34)
1.89 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 22.3% | 46.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.7%
1 - 2
9.2%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nissa | 0 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Nissa | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 60% |
| Attack | 28% | 33% |
| Defense | 78% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Nissa | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 50% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Draws | 50% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Form: Nissa: DLWWDDWWL • Messina: DWLWDDWDW
League goals
| Metric | Nissa | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 2.0 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 1.3 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Nissa | Messina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 22% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Nissa | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Nissa | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Nissa | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Nissa | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 47% | 53% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 41% | 59% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.8% | 54.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Messina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Nissa = 1.45 (league 1.34), Messina = 1.89 (league 1.06)
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Nissa | 0 | 3.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 22.3% · Away win 46.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1