Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.35)
0.14 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 71.4% | 24.8% | 3.4% |
best score tips
1 - 0
29.6%
2 - 0
21.4%
0 - 0
20.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Vigor Lamezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 20.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.6% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 27% |
| Attack | 23% | 8% |
| Defense | 69% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 80% | 44% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWL • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWL
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.5 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 67% | 44% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 22% | 11% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-1 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Vigor Lamezia |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 91% | 9% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 64.8% | 35.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : CastrumFavara or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 1.45 (league 1.35), Vigor Lamezia = 0.14 (league 1.06)
| Vigor Lamezia | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 20.4% | 2.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 29.6% | 4.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 10.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.4% · Draw 24.8% · Away win 3.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1