Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 14:00 •
Stadio Valentino Mazzola
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.35)
0.76 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 52.5% | 27.2% | 20.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.1%
1 - 1
12.2%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sancataldese | 0 | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 33% |
| Attack | 29% | 29% |
| Defense | 64% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 20% | 60% | 0% | 30% |
| Draws | 20% | 20% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 30% |
| Loses | 40% | 80% | 60% | 0% | 80% | 40% |
Form: Sancataldese: LLDLWDWLLL • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 5 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 1.6 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 70% | 70% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 0% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 2-0 | — | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Sancataldese | CastrumFavara |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 43% | 57% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Sancataldese or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Sancataldese = 1.42 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.76 (league 1.06)
| CastrumFavara | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Sancataldese | 0 | 11.3% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.1% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.4% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 20.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1