Gelbison vs Messina

Serie D - Girone I — Italy

Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Valentino Giordano

Match Finished

Gelbison

0 - 1

Messina

Expected Goals

1.07 (league 1.34) 3.32 (league 1.06)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
8.3%	11.5%	68.2%

best score tips

1 - 3

8.1%

0 - 3

7.5%

1 - 2

7.3%

Score & goals probability table

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Gelbison	0	1.2%	4.1%	6.8%	7.5%	6.3%	4.2%
	1	1.3%	4.4%	7.3%	8.1%	6.7%	4.5%
	2	0.7%	2.4%	3.9%	4.3%	3.6%	2.4%
	3	0.3%	0.8%	1.4%	1.5%	1.3%	0.9%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Gelbison	Messina
Played	5	5
Form	33%	53%
Attack	33%	42%
Defense	25%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	4 \| 0.8	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	4 \| 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%

FT probability

2.5+

53%

FT probability

3.5+

38%

FT probability

BTTS

70%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Gelbison			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	5	6	11	6	5	11
Wins	20%	33%	27%	33%	40%	36%
Draws	20%	67%	45%	50%	40%	45%
Loses	60%	0%	27%	17%	20%	18%

Form: Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLD • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLD

League goals

Metric	Gelbison			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	6	5	11	4	8	12
GF avg	1.2	0.8	1.0	0.7	1.6	1.1
GA total	11	3	14	4	6	10
GA avg	2.2	0.5	1.3	0.7	1.2	0.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Gelbison		Messina
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	64%	55%	64%	73%
1.5	27%	36%	36%	18%
2.5	9%	9%	9%	0%
3.5	0%	9%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	9%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Gelbison			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	4	5	3	0	3
Failed to score	1	3	4	3	1	4

Penalties

Metric	Gelbison	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0

Streaks

Metric	Gelbison	Messina
Wins	1	1
Draws	3	2
Losses	1	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-0	2-3	2-1	1-3
Biggest losses	2-6	—	0-2	1-0
Goals For	2	3	2	3
Goals Against	6	2	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Gelbison	Messina
Form	38%	62%
Att	44%	56%
Def	31%	69%
Poisson Distribution	23%	77%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	39.3%	60.7%

Advice: Winner : Messina

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.75 @ Betano

Draw3.50 @ Superbet

Away4.42 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Superbet

Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Superbet

No1.80 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-11-16T13:14:18+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.68
Draw	3.48
Away	4.33

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.07
Draw	2.41
Away	4.45

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.66
Away -1.25	1.37
Home -1	2.34
Away -1	1.51
Home -0.75	1.89
Away -0.75	1.74
Home -0.25	1.47
Away -0.25	2.35
Home +0	1.26
Away +0	3.20
Home +0.25	1.20
Away +0.25	3.70
Home -2	5.45
Away -2	1.08
Home +1	1.00
Away +1	9.30
Home -1.75	3.80
Away -1.75	1.19
Home -1.5	3.04
Away -1.5	1.29
Home -2.5	6.30
Away -2.5	1.06

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.36
Under 1.75	2.69
Over 2.0	1.48
Under 2.0	2.33
Over 2.25	1.73
Under 2.25	1.90
Over 2.5	1.98
Under 2.5	1.72
Over 2.75	2.24
Under 2.75	1.52
Over 3.5	3.48
Under 3.5	1.22
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.30
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.10
Over 3.0	2.78
Under 3.0	1.34
Over 3.25	3.14
Under 3.25	1.27
Over 4.0	6.05
Under 4.0	1.06

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.88
Under 1.5	1.33
Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	2.67
Over 1.0	1.92
Under 1.0	1.77

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 2.0	3.80
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.87
No	1.77

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.04
Away -1	1.94
Draw -1	3.34
Home -2	6.30
Draw -2	5.00
Away -2	1.29

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.14
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.94

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.27
Draw	2.07
Away	5.00

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.54
Draw	8.70
Away	2.79

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.55
Draw	8.70
Away	2.76

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.91
Under 1.5	1.78
Over 1	1.30
Under 1	3.10
Over 2	2.93
Under 2	1.33

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.75
Under 1.5	1.21
Over 1	2.54
Under 1	1.44
Over 2	9.60
Under 2	1.00

1xBet Updated: 2025-11-16T13:14:18+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Draw	3.48
Away	4.42

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.09
Draw	2.41
Away	4.63

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	2.66
Away -1.25	1.37
Home -1	2.34
Away -1	1.51
Home -0.75	1.89
Away -0.75	1.74
Home -0.25	1.47
Away -0.25	2.35
Home +0	1.26
Away +0	3.20
Home +0.25	1.20
Away +0.25	3.70
Home -2	5.45
Away -2	1.08
Home +1	1.00
Away +1	9.30
Home -1.75	3.80
Away -1.75	1.19
Home -1.5	3.04
Away -1.5	1.29
Home +1.5	1.03
Away +1.5	8.90
Home -2.5	6.30
Away -2.5	1.06

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.36
Under 1.75	2.69
Over 2.0	1.48
Under 2.0	2.33
Over 2.25	1.73
Under 2.25	1.90
Over 2.5	1.98
Under 2.5	1.72
Over 2.75	2.24
Under 2.75	1.52
Over 3.5	3.48
Under 3.5	1.22
Over 1.0	1.03
Under 1.0	7.30
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.10
Over 3.0	2.78
Under 3.0	1.34
Over 4.5	6.50
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 3.25	3.14
Under 3.25	1.27
Over 4.0	6.05
Under 4.0	1.06
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.88
Under 1.5	1.33
Over 2.5	7.30
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.38
Under 0.5	2.67
Over 0.75	1.56
Under 0.75	2.21
Over 1.0	1.92
Under 1.0	1.77
Over 1.25	2.42
Under 1.25	1.47

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 1.75	2.67
Under 1.75	1.39
Over 2.0	3.80
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 2.5	4.80
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 0.5	1.25
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39
Over 1.25	1.83
Under 1.25	1.83

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	18.00
Home/Away	44.00
Draw/Away	9.50
Draw/Draw	4.70
Home/Home	2.80
Draw/Home	4.70
Away/Home	23.00
Away/Draw	18.00
Away/Away	7.30

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.87
No	1.80

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	4.10
2:0	5.00
2:1	5.40
3:0	8.80
3:1	9.60
3:2	20.00
4:0	21.00
4:1	23.00
0:0	6.00
1:1	4.40
2:2	11.00
0:1	7.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	45.00
1:2	9.20
1:3	29.00
2:3	35.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	50.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	60.00
5:1	70.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.32
1st Half	3.02
2nd Half	2.05

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.14
Home/Away	1.22
Draw/Away	1.94

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.29
Draw	2.07
Away	5.25

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.91
Under 1.5	1.78
Over 2.5	4.00
Under 2.5	1.20
Over 3.5	9.30
Under 3.5	1.03
Over 1	1.30
Under 1	3.10
Over 2	2.93
Under 2	1.33
Over 0.5	1.15
Under 0.5	4.40

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	3.75
Under 1.5	1.21
Over 2.5	10.50
Under 2.5	1.02
Over 1	2.54
Under 1	1.44
Over 2	9.60
Under 2	1.00
Over 0.5	1.55
Under 0.5	2.20

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.15
Away -1	1.10
Home -0.25	1.83
Away -0.25	1.81
Home +0	1.35
Away +0	2.79
Home +0.25	1.20
Away +0.25	3.78

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.08
Home/Away	1.57
Draw/Away	1.47

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.11
Home/Away	1.42
Draw/Away	1.57

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.85
No	1.13

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.58
No	1.23

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.82
Even	1.82

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.03
Even	1.65

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.77

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.15
Even	1.58

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	3.84
Away -1	1.18
Home -0.25	1.71
Away -0.25	1.95
Home +0	1.33
Away +0	2.86
Home +0.25	1.22
Away +0.25	3.58

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.78
Under 0.5	1.86

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.71
Under 0.5	1.37

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.53
Under 0.5	2.24

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.27
Under 0.5	1.52

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.92
Even	1.73

Betano Updated: 2025-11-16T13:14:18+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.75
Draw	3.35
Away	4.15

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.31
Away	2.90

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.07
Draw	2.42
Away	4.20

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.75	1.90
Away -0.75	1.72

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.75
Under 2.25	1.90
Over 2.5	1.95
Under 2.5	1.67

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.40
Over 1.0	1.90
Under 1.0	1.67

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	15.00
Home/Away	50.00
Draw/Away	8.75
Draw/Draw	4.90
Home/Home	2.75
Draw/Home	4.25
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	15.00
Away/Away	7.30

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.10
2:0	6.10
2:1	6.40
3:0	10.00
3:1	10.75
3:2	19.50
4:0	21.00
4:1	22.00
0:0	8.75
1:1	5.30
2:2	11.75
0:1	8.25
0:2	16.00
0:3	40.00
1:2	10.25
1:3	28.00
2:3	32.00
3:3	50.00
0:4	150.00
1:4	90.00
2:4	110.00
4:2	40.00
1:5	350.00
2:5	400.00
3:4	175.00
5:0	55.00
5:1	55.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	150.00
6:1	175.00
6:2	300.00
4:3	110.00
5:3	250.00
4:4	350.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.15
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.98

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	2.82
2:0	6.10
2:1	11.75
3:0	17.50
3:1	35.00
3:2	110.00
4:0	60.00
4:1	120.00
0:0	2.40
1:1	5.40
2:2	37.00
0:1	4.30
0:2	14.00
0:3	60.00
1:2	17.50
1:3	80.00
2:3	175.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.19
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.87

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.37
Draw	2.05
Away	4.60

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.82
Away -0.25	1.72

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.17
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.47

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.37
Away	2.55

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.36
Away	2.60

Superbet Updated: 2025-11-16T13:14:18+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	1.75
Draw	3.50
Away	4.10

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.29
Away	2.95

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.30
Under 1.5	2.95
Over 2.5	2.00
Under 2.5	1.72
Over 3.5	3.35
Under 3.5	1.24

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	12.00
Home/Away	28.00
Draw/Away	7.60
Draw/Draw	4.80
Home/Home	2.75
Draw/Home	4.30
Away/Home	18.00
Away/Draw	12.00
Away/Away	6.60

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.92
No	1.78

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.70
2:0	6.70
2:1	7.20
3:0	11.00
3:1	11.00
3:2	20.00
4:0	20.00
4:1	21.00
0:0	7.90
1:1	6.10
2:2	13.00
0:1	8.60
0:2	16.00
0:3	36.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	25.00
2:3	30.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	75.00
1:4	65.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	38.00
3:4	85.00
4:3	70.00
4:4	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.17
Home/Away	1.23
Draw/Away	1.88

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.83

Bet ID 25 — Result/Total Goals

Selection	Odds
Draw/Over 1.5	4.75
Away/Over 1.5	5.65
Home/Over 1.5	2.25
Home/Under 1.5	5.90
Draw/Under 1.5	8.20
Away/Under 1.5	9.00
Home/Over 2.5	2.92
Draw/Over 2.5	12.00
Away/Over 2.5	6.90
Home/Under 2.5	3.65
Draw/Under 2.5	4.15
Away/Under 2.5	6.90
Draw/Over 3.5	12.00
Home/Over 3.5	5.20
Away/Over 3.5	14.00
Home/Under 3.5	2.35
Draw/Under 3.5	4.15
Away/Under 3.5	4.80

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Gelbison vs Messina

Expected goals (λ): Gelbison = 1.07 (league 1.34), Messina = 3.32 (league 1.06)

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Gelbison	0	1.2%	4.1%	6.8%	7.5%	6.3%	4.2%
	1	1.3%	4.4%	7.3%	8.1%	6.7%	4.5%
	2	0.7%	2.4%	3.9%	4.3%	3.6%	2.4%
	3	0.3%	0.8%	1.4%	1.5%	1.3%	0.9%
	4	0.1%	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%
	5	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.3% · Draw 11.5% · Away win 68.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Gelbison	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	1 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	1	0