Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Falcone-Borsellino
Match Finished
1 - 4
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.35) 0.45 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 48.6% 24.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
39.6%
1 - 0
18.8%
0 - 1
17.9%
Score & goals probability table
Gela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paternò 0 39.6% 17.9% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 8.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaternòGela
Played55
Form20%20%
Attack33%33%
Defense0%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paternò Gela
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins40%0%18%50%20%36%
Draws40%17%27%0%20%9%
Loses20%83%55%50%60%55%

Form: Paternò: LDLDDWLLWLL • Gela: DWWWLLLLWLL

League goals

Metric Paternò Gela
HATHAT
GF total4379312
GF avg0.80.50.61.50.61.1
GA total414187411
GA avg0.82.31.61.20.81.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaternòGela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%64%55%64%
1.59%64%36%27%
2.59%27%18%9%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaternòGela
HATHAT
Clean sheets314224
Failed to score336235

Penalties

MetricPaternòGela
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricPaternòGela
Wins13
Draws21
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-32-1
Goals For3132
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricPaternòGela
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.3%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Gela

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Paternò = 0.47 (league 1.35), Gela = 0.45 (league 1.06)

Gela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paternò 0 39.6% 17.9% 4.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.8% 8.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.5% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 48.6% · Away win 24.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1