Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 13:30 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
0.89 (league 1.35)
0.68 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.4% | 35.5% | 26.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
20.9%
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 1
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Igea Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 67% |
| Attack | 42% | 67% |
| Defense | 50% | 58% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 60% | 0% | 27% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 33% | 40% | 36% |
| Loses | 0% | 83% | 45% | 17% | 0% | 9% |
Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDL • Igea Virtus: WDWDDWLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 22 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 73% | 100% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 27% | 73% | 55% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 27% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Igea Virtus |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 54% | 46% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 49.5% | 50.5% |
Advice: Double chance : CastrumFavara or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.89 (league 1.35), Igea Virtus = 0.68 (league 1.06)
| Igea Virtus | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 20.9% | 14.1% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 18.6% | 12.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.4% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 26.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1