Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Tupparello
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.64 (league 1.34) 0.91 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 24.6% 20.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.8%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acireale 0 7.8% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.6% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcirealeCastrumFavara
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack70%50%
Defense40%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Acireale CastrumFavara
HATHAT
Played66126612
Wins33%17%25%50%0%25%
Draws50%17%33%50%17%33%
Loses17%67%42%0%83%42%

Form: Acireale: LDLLLDWWLWDD • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLD

League goals

Metric Acireale CastrumFavara
HATHAT
GF total85136511
GF avg1.30.81.11.00.80.9
GA total7101721012
GA avg1.21.71.40.31.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcirealeCastrumFavara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%92%67%67%
1.525%42%25%25%
2.58%8%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcirealeCastrumFavara
HATHAT
Clean sheets011404
Failed to score033224

Penalties

MetricAcirealeCastrumFavara
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAcirealeCastrumFavara
Wins21
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-32-0—
Biggest losses1-23-0—3-2
Goals For2322
Goals Against2313

Model comparison

MetricAcirealeCastrumFavara
Form62%38%
Att58%42%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution63%38%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.7%45.5%

Advice: Double chance : Acireale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.37 @ 1xBet
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away2.87 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.61 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ Marathonbet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Acireale = 1.64 (league 1.34), CastrumFavara = 0.91 (league 1.06)

CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acireale 0 7.8% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.8% 11.6% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.6% 9.6% 4.3% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.8% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 20.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1