Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.97 (league 1.34) 0.37 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.6% 36.5% 13.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
26.3%
1 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 26.3% 9.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack83%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CastrumFavara AC Palermo
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins50%14%31%57%33%46%
Draws50%14%31%29%33%31%
Loses0%71%38%14%33%23%

Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDW • AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWL

League goals

Metric CastrumFavara AC Palermo
HATHAT
GF total671314822
GF avg1.01.01.02.01.31.7
GA total211138816
GA avg0.31.61.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%92%69%
1.531%23%62%46%
2.50%8%15%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets404224
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-02-3
Biggest losses—3-21-23-2
Goals For2233
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricCastrumFavaraAC Palermo
Form36%64%
Att31%69%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total47.5%52.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.14 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ Bet365
Away2.33 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ Marathonbet
No1.86 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.97 (league 1.34), AC Palermo = 0.37 (league 1.06)

AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 26.3% 9.7% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 36.5% · Away win 13.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1