Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:30 • Stadio Vincenzo Presti
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.35) 0.94 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.6% 24.4% 21.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.6%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gela 0 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGelaCastrumFavara
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack38%38%
Defense54%54%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gela CastrumFavara
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins57%29%43%43%14%29%
Draws0%14%7%43%14%29%
Loses43%57%50%14%71%43%

Form: Gela: DWWWLLLLWLLWWL • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWL

League goals

Metric Gela CastrumFavara
HATHAT
GF total107177714
GF avg1.41.01.21.01.01.0
GA total761341115
GA avg1.00.90.90.61.61.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGelaCastrumFavara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%71%71%
1.536%21%29%29%
2.521%7%0%7%
3.57%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGelaCastrumFavara
HATHAT
Clean sheets325404
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricGelaCastrumFavara
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricGelaCastrumFavara
Wins31
Draws11
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-42-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-11-23-2
Goals For3422
Goals Against3223

Model comparison

MetricGelaCastrumFavara
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total54.8%45.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or CastrumFavara

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.00 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gela = 1.66 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.94 (league 1.06)

CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gela 0 7.4% 7.0% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.6% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.7% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.6% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 21.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1