Messina vs Vigor Lamezia

Serie D - Girone I — Italy

Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio San Filippo

Match Finished

Messina

1 - 0

Vigor Lamezia

Expected Goals

0.76 (league 1.35) 0.46 (league 1.06)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
38.9%	40.8%	20.3%

best score tips

0 - 0

29.6%

1 - 0

22.4%

0 - 1

13.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Vigor Lamezia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Messina	0	29.6%	13.6%	3.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	22.4%	10.3%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	8.5%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Messina	Vigor Lamezia
Played	5	5
Form	33%	27%
Attack	14%	50%
Defense	79%	50%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	7 \| 1.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	3 \| 0.6	7 \| 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%

FT probability

2.5+

37%

FT probability

3.5+

26%

FT probability

BTTS

57%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Messina			Vigor Lamezia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	7	7	14	7	7	14
Wins	29%	43%	36%	43%	14%	29%
Draws	43%	43%	43%	14%	14%	14%
Loses	29%	14%	21%	43%	71%	57%

Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLD • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLL

League goals

Metric	Messina			Vigor Lamezia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	4	9	13	8	5	13
GF avg	0.6	1.3	0.9	1.1	0.7	0.9
GA total	5	6	11	3	12	15
GA avg	0.7	0.9	0.8	0.4	1.7	1.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Messina		Vigor Lamezia
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	57%	64%	57%	64%
1.5	29%	14%	14%	29%
2.5	7%	0%	14%	14%
3.5	0%	0%	7%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Messina			Vigor Lamezia
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	4	1	5
Failed to score	4	2	6	4	2	6

Penalties

Metric	Messina	Vigor Lamezia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1

Streaks

Metric	Messina	Vigor Lamezia
Wins	1	1
Draws	2	1
Losses	1	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	2-1	1-3	4-0	0-1
Biggest losses	0-2	1-0	0-1	3-0
Goals For	2	3	4	1
Goals Against	2	2	1	3

Model comparison

Metric	Messina	Vigor Lamezia
Form	56%	44%
Att	22%	78%
Def	70%	30%
Poisson Distribution	61%	39%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	52.3%	47.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Vigor Lamezia and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.11 @ 1xBet

Draw3.15 @ Marathonbet

Away3.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.71 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet

No1.89 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

10Bet Updated: 2025-12-07T13:39:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.00
Draw	3.10
Away	3.30

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.45
Away	2.40

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.00
Under 2.5	1.62

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.42
Under 0.5	2.40

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	31.00
Draw/Away	7.00
Draw/Draw	4.75
Home/Home	3.35
Draw/Home	5.00
Away/Home	26.00
Away/Draw	13.00
Away/Away	6.00

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.00
Away -1	1.70
Draw -1	3.55

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.75
2:0	8.00
2:1	7.00
3:0	15.00
3:1	13.00
3:2	23.00
4:0	41.00
4:1	34.00
0:0	7.50
1:1	5.50
2:2	13.00
0:1	8.00
0:2	15.00
0:3	34.00
1:2	10.00
1:3	23.00
2:3	31.00
3:3	56.00
0:4	91.00
1:4	67.00
2:4	81.00
4:2	56.00
5:0	91.00
5:1	81.00
5:2	126.00
4:3	101.00

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.25
2:0	8.00
2:1	13.00
3:0	26.00
3:1	41.00
0:0	2.40
1:1	5.75
2:2	41.00
0:1	4.33
0:2	13.00
0:3	51.00
1:2	17.00
1:3	61.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.25
Home/Away	1.25
Draw/Away	1.70

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.70
Draw	2.00
Away	4.00

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-12-07T13:39:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.09
Draw	3.15
Away	3.15

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.43
Draw	2.34
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.58
Away -1.25	1.21
Home -1	3.22
Away -1	1.26
Home -0.75	2.43
Away -0.75	1.44
Home -0.25	1.79
Away -0.25	1.83
Home +0	1.53
Away +0	2.30
Home +0.25	1.37
Away +0.25	2.66
Home +0.75	1.17
Away +0.75	3.96
Home -2	8.10
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.06
Away +1	6.05
Home -1.5	4.10
Away -1.5	1.16
Home +1.5	1.04
Away +1.5	7.10
Home -2.5	8.90
Away -2.5	1.01

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.04
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.49
Under 2.0	2.30
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.00
Under 2.5	1.71
Over 2.75	2.26
Under 2.75	1.51
Over 3.5	3.48
Under 3.5	1.22
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	7.00
Over 1.25	1.16
Under 1.25	4.05
Over 3.0	2.78
Under 3.0	1.34
Over 3.25	3.14
Under 3.25	1.27
Over 3.75	4.20
Under 3.75	1.15
Over 4.0	6.05
Under 4.0	1.06

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.60
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.74

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 2.0	3.78
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.78
No	1.86

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home -1	4.10
Away -1	1.58
Draw -1	3.66
Home -2	6.10
Draw -2	4.40
Away -2	1.14
Home +1	1.26
Draw +1	4.75
Away +1	7.10

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.58

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.74
Draw	1.99
Away	3.90

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	1.77
Draw	8.30
Away	2.29

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	1.77
Draw	8.30
Away	2.29

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 1	1.47
Under 1	2.43
Over 2	3.88
Under 2	1.20

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.98
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 1	1.94
Under 1	1.75
Over 2	6.40
Under 2	1.05

1xBet Updated: 2025-12-07T13:39:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.11
Draw	3.15
Away	3.22

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.45
Draw	2.34
Away	3.65

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1.25	3.58
Away -1.25	1.21
Home -1	3.22
Away -1	1.26
Home -0.75	2.43
Away -0.75	1.44
Home -0.25	1.79
Away -0.25	1.83
Home +0	1.53
Away +0	2.30
Home +0.25	1.37
Away +0.25	2.66
Home +0.75	1.17
Away +0.75	3.96
Home -2	8.10
Away -2	1.02
Home +1	1.06
Away +1	6.05
Home -1.5	4.10
Away -1.5	1.16
Home +1.5	1.04
Away +1.5	7.10
Home -2.5	8.90
Away -2.5	1.01
Home +2.5	1.01
Away +2.5	10.50

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.30
Under 1.5	2.97
Over 1.75	1.37
Under 1.75	2.66
Over 2.0	1.49
Under 2.0	2.30
Over 2.25	1.74
Under 2.25	1.89
Over 2.5	2.01
Under 2.5	1.70
Over 2.75	2.26
Under 2.75	1.51
Over 3.5	3.48
Under 3.5	1.22
Over 0.5	1.04
Under 0.5	7.90
Over 1.0	1.04
Under 1.0	6.95
Over 1.25	1.17
Under 1.25	4.05
Over 3.0	2.81
Under 3.0	1.33
Over 4.5	6.40
Under 4.5	1.08
Over 3.25	3.14
Under 3.25	1.27
Over 3.75	4.20
Under 3.75	1.15
Over 4.0	6.05
Under 4.0	1.06
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.92
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 2.0	5.50
Under 2.0	1.11
Over 2.5	7.30
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.40
Under 0.5	2.60
Over 0.75	1.58
Under 0.75	2.17
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.74
Over 1.25	2.45
Under 1.25	1.46

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 1.75	2.67
Under 1.75	1.39
Over 2.0	3.80
Under 2.0	1.20
Over 2.5	4.80
Under 2.5	1.15
Over 0.5	1.25
Under 0.5	3.60
Over 1.0	1.47
Under 1.0	2.39
Over 1.25	1.83
Under 1.25	1.83

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	15.50
Home/Away	31.00
Draw/Away	7.70
Draw/Draw	4.80
Home/Home	3.40
Draw/Home	5.80
Away/Home	24.00
Away/Draw	15.50
Away/Away	5.00

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.78
No	1.89

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	7.50
2:0	10.00
2:1	9.50
3:0	19.00
3:1	18.00
3:2	30.00
4:0	45.00
4:1	40.00
0:0	8.00
1:1	7.00
2:2	16.00
0:1	9.50
0:2	17.00
0:3	40.00
1:2	12.00
1:3	30.00
2:3	40.00
3:3	60.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	70.00
2:4	90.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	90.00
5:1	90.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.34
1st Half	3.04
2nd Half	2.03

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.26
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.58

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.76
Draw	1.99
Away	4.08

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.20
Under 1.5	1.58
Over 2.5	4.40
Under 2.5	1.17
Over 1	1.47
Under 1	2.43
Over 2	3.88
Under 2	1.20
Over 0.5	1.22
Under 0.5	3.58

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.98
Under 1.5	1.32
Over 2.5	7.00
Under 2.5	1.06
Over 1	1.94
Under 1	1.75
Over 2	6.40
Under 2	1.05
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.63

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.90
Away -1	1.04
Home -0.25	2.16
Away -0.25	1.57
Home +0	1.57
Away +0	2.16
Home +0.25	1.31
Away +0.25	2.97

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.15
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.32

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.19
Home/Away	1.44
Draw/Away	1.41

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	4.60
No	1.15

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	3.34
No	1.26

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.79

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.06
Even	1.63

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.74

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.66

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -1	5.20
Away -1	1.10
Home -0.25	2.01
Away -0.25	1.66
Home +0	1.56
Away +0	2.18
Home +0.25	1.35
Away +0.25	2.79

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.96
Under 0.5	1.70

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	2.34
Under 0.5	1.49

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.67
Under 0.5	2.01

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.96
Under 0.5	1.70

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.93
Even	1.72

Betano Updated: 2025-12-07T13:39:14+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.05
Draw	3.15
Away	3.30

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.47
Away	2.32

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.40
Draw	2.35
Away	3.50

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	1.72
Away -0.25	1.90

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.25	1.78
Under 2.25	1.85
Over 2.5	1.98
Under 2.5	1.65

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.50
Under 1.5	1.37
Over 0.5	1.42
Under 0.5	2.35
Over 1.0	1.95
Under 1.0	1.62

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.50
Home/Away	37.00
Draw/Away	7.10
Draw/Draw	4.55
Home/Home	3.30
Draw/Home	4.75
Away/Home	28.00
Away/Draw	14.50
Away/Away	5.80

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.40
2:0	7.30
2:1	6.70
3:0	13.50
3:1	12.50
3:2	20.00
4:0	30.00
4:1	28.00
0:0	8.25
1:1	5.00
2:2	10.75
0:1	7.00
0:2	12.50
0:3	30.00
1:2	8.75
1:3	22.00
2:3	27.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	90.00
1:4	65.00
2:4	80.00
4:2	45.00
0:5	350.00
1:5	250.00
1:6	400.00
2:5	300.00
3:4	150.00
5:0	80.00
5:1	80.00
5:2	120.00
6:0	250.00
6:1	250.00
6:2	400.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	400.00
5:3	300.00
4:4	300.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.10
1st Half	3.10
2nd Half	1.98

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.05
2:0	7.10
2:1	12.00
3:0	22.00
3:1	37.00
3:2	110.00
4:0	90.00
4:1	150.00
0:0	2.35
1:1	5.20
2:2	35.00
0:1	3.85
0:2	11.75
0:3	45.00
1:2	16.00
1:3	65.00
2:3	150.00
0:4	200.00
1:4	250.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.27
Home/Away	1.30
Draw/Away	1.62

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.67
Draw	1.98
Away	3.95

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.02
Away -0.25	1.57

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.21
Home/Away	1.67
Draw/Away	1.38

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.78

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Away	2.18

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.52
Away	2.18

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Messina vs Vigor Lamezia

Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.76 (league 1.35), Vigor Lamezia = 0.46 (league 1.06)

		Vigor Lamezia
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Messina	0	29.6%	13.6%	3.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	22.4%	10.3%	2.4%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	8.5%	3.9%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.4%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 40.8% · Away win 20.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Messina	Vigor Lamezia
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	1