Sun, Dec 14 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio San Filippo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.31 (league 1.35) 0.78 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 42.2% 44.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
33.5%
0 - 1
26.2%
1 - 0
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Igea Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 33.5% 26.2% 10.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMessinaIgea Virtus
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack38%38%
Defense75%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Messina Igea Virtus
HATHAT
Played87158715
Wins38%43%40%50%57%53%
Draws38%43%40%38%43%40%
Loses25%14%20%13%0%7%

Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDW • Igea Virtus: WDWDDWLWWWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Messina Igea Virtus
HATHAT
GF total5914141024
GF avg0.61.30.91.81.41.6
GA total56119514
GA avg0.60.90.71.10.70.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMessinaIgea Virtus
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%87%53%
1.527%13%53%40%
2.57%0%20%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMessinaIgea Virtus
HATHAT
Clean sheets426347
Failed to score426112

Penalties

MetricMessinaIgea Virtus
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMessinaIgea Virtus
Wins13
Draws23
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-21-01-2—
Goals For2332
Goals Against2222

Model comparison

MetricMessinaIgea Virtus
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total39.8%60.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Igea Virtus and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.85 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.31 (league 1.35), Igea Virtus = 0.78 (league 1.07)

Igea Virtus
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 33.5% 26.2% 10.3% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 8.1% 3.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 42.2% · Away win 44.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1