Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 13:30 • Stadio Grotta Polifemo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.34) 1.10 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 29.3% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilazzoMessina
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack56%33%
Defense78%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milazzo Messina
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins71%33%50%44%43%44%
Draws14%22%19%33%43%38%
Loses14%44%31%22%14%19%

Form: Milazzo: DDLWDWLLWWLWWWWL • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWW

League goals

Metric Milazzo Messina
HATHAT
GF total116176915
GF avg1.60.71.10.71.30.9
GA total610165611
GA avg0.91.11.00.60.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilazzoMessina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%56%63%56%
1.525%31%25%13%
2.50%13%6%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilazzoMessina
HATHAT
Clean sheets437527
Failed to score033426

Penalties

MetricMilazzoMessina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricMilazzoMessina
Wins41
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-11-3
Biggest losses2-33-10-21-0
Goals For2123
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricMilazzoMessina
Form55%45%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total50.0%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Milazzo or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.47 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Superbet
Away2.62 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Superbet
Under 2.51.72 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Superbet
No1.90 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milazzo = 1.07 (league 1.34), Messina = 1.10 (league 1.06)

Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 11.3% 12.5% 6.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.2% 13.4% 7.4% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 29.3% · Away win 36.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1