Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.52 (league 1.35) 0.60 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 43.6% 30.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.6%
0 - 1
19.6%
1 - 0
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 32.6% 19.6% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambiaseGelbison
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack20%60%
Defense70%30%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambiase Gelbison
HATHAT
Played98178917
Wins22%50%35%25%44%35%
Draws56%25%41%13%44%29%
Loses22%25%24%63%11%35%

Form: Sambiase: LDWWDDWDLWWDWDLDL • Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWW

League goals

Metric Sambiase Gelbison
HATHAT
GF total98179817
GF avg1.01.01.01.10.91.0
GA total661216622
GA avg0.70.80.72.00.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambiaseGelbison
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%59%65%59%
1.529%12%29%35%
2.512%0%6%18%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambiaseGelbison
HATHAT
Clean sheets347167
Failed to score347246

Penalties

MetricSambiaseGelbison
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSambiaseGelbison
Wins21
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-12-02-63-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against1263

Model comparison

MetricSambiaseGelbison
Form36%64%
Att25%75%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total44.5%55.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gelbison and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ Unibet
Draw3.10 @ 10Bet
Away5.18 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.56 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.72 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 0.52 (league 1.35), Gelbison = 0.60 (league 1.05)

Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 32.6% 19.6% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.0% 10.2% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 4.4% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 43.6% · Away win 30.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1