Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.36) 0.56 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 43.0% 27.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.7%
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 1
17.7%
Score & goals probability table
Sambiase
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 31.7% 17.7% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastrumFavaraSambiase
Played55
Form7%33%
Attack27%27%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CastrumFavara Sambiase
HATHAT
Played8101810818
Wins38%10%22%30%50%39%
Draws50%10%28%50%25%39%
Loses13%80%50%20%25%22%

Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLDLL • Sambiase: LDWWDDWDLWWDWDLDLW

League goals

Metric CastrumFavara Sambiase
HATHAT
GF total881611819
GF avg1.00.80.91.11.01.1
GA total520257613
GA avg0.62.01.40.70.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastrumFavaraSambiase
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%78%61%61%
1.522%39%33%11%
2.50%17%11%0%
3.50%6%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastrumFavaraSambiase
HATHAT
Clean sheets404347
Failed to score246347

Penalties

MetricCastrumFavaraSambiase
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCastrumFavaraSambiase
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-00-3
Biggest losses1-24-10-12-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against2412

Model comparison

MetricCastrumFavaraSambiase
Form17%83%
Att50%50%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h29%71%
Goals43%57%
Total35.3%64.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Sambiase and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.72 @ 1xBet
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.50 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.59 (league 1.36), Sambiase = 0.56 (league 1.07)

Sambiase
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 31.7% 17.7% 5.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 10.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.5% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 27.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1