Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Filippo
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.35)
0.57 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 38.9% | 37.7% | 23.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
24.6%
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 1
14.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Sancataldese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 24.6% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Attack | 18% | 64% |
| Defense | 64% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 9 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 44% | 33% | 39% | 40% | 13% | 28% |
| Draws | 33% | 44% | 39% | 30% | 13% | 22% |
| Loses | 22% | 22% | 22% | 30% | 75% | 50% |
Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDL • Sancataldese: LLDLWDWLLLWLDWDLWL
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 9 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 20 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 10 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Sancataldese | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 56% | 56% | 67% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 22% | 17% | 28% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 6% | 17% | 17% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Sancataldese |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 53% | 47% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 64% | 36% |
| Poisson Distribution | 60% | 40% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 54.8% | 45.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Messina or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.83 (league 1.35), Sancataldese = 0.57 (league 1.05)
| Sancataldese | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 24.6% | 14.0% | 4.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 8.5% | 4.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.9% · Draw 37.7% · Away win 23.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1