Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 1.35)
0.67 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 55.6% | 26.8% | 17.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
17.5%
2 - 0
12.6%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
| AC Palermo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Attack | 45% | 100% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
70%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 50% | 10% | 28% | 60% | 38% | 50% |
| Draws | 13% | 30% | 22% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 38% | 60% | 50% | 10% | 38% | 22% |
Form: Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWDD • AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLWW
League goals
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 10 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 11 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 15 | 19 | 11 | 12 | 23 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 61% | 72% | 94% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 17% | 22% | 67% | 44% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 11% | 17% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-1 | 4-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 3-0 | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Vigor Lamezia | AC Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 33% | 67% |
| Att | 31% | 69% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 43.8% | 56.2% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Palermo
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.57 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 1xBet
Away2.41 @ 1xBet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.83 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.87 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.68 @ 1xBet
No2.13 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Vigor Lamezia = 1.45 (league 1.35), AC Palermo = 0.67 (league 1.05)
| AC Palermo | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Vigor Lamezia | 0 | 12.1% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.5% | 11.6% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.6% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.6% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 17.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1
