Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Valentino Giordano
Expected Goals
1.67 (league 1.32)
0.92 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.3% | 24.3% | 20.6% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.5%
1 - 1
11.5%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gelbison | 0 | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 13% |
| Attack | 64% | 9% |
| Defense | 45% | 36% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
72%
FT probability
2.5+
51%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 10 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| Wins | 25% | 40% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Draws | 13% | 40% | 28% | 30% | 25% | 28% |
| Loses | 63% | 20% | 39% | 50% | 75% | 61% |
Form: Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWWL • Paternò: LDLDDWLLWLLLLLLDLD
League goals
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 9 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 16 | 8 | 24 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gelbison | Paternò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 61% | 39% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 28% | 39% | 6% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 6% | 17% | 6% | 28% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 2-6 | 3-0 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gelbison | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 82% | 18% |
| Att | 88% | 13% |
| Def | 54% | 46% |
| Poisson Distribution | 64% | 36% |
| H2h | 88% | 13% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 75.2% | 25.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Gelbison or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gelbison = 1.67 (league 1.32), Paternò = 0.92 (league 1.09)
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gelbison | 0 | 7.5% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.3% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 20.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1