Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Carlo Stagno d'Alcontres
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.34) 0.71 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.1% 27.6% 19.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
17.0%
0 - 0
12.2%
1 - 1
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Milazzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Igea Virtus 0 12.2% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIgea VirtusMilazzo
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack55%27%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Igea Virtus Milazzo
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins44%56%50%56%33%44%
Draws44%33%39%33%22%28%
Loses11%11%11%11%44%28%

Form: Igea Virtus: WDWDDWLWWWDDDWWLDW • Milazzo: DDLWDWLLWWLWWWWLDD

League goals

Metric Igea Virtus Milazzo
HATHAT
GF total15132812618
GF avg1.71.41.61.30.71.0
GA total1061671017
GA avg1.10.70.90.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIgea VirtusMilazzo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%56%78%56%
1.550%33%22%28%
2.522%0%0%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIgea VirtusMilazzo
HATHAT
Clean sheets358538
Failed to score123134

Penalties

MetricIgea VirtusMilazzo
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricIgea VirtusMilazzo
Wins34
Draws32
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-1
Biggest losses1-21-02-33-1
Goals For3321
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricIgea VirtusMilazzo
Form56%44%
Att67%33%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Igea Virtus or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.08 @ 1xBet
Draw3.20 @ Dafabet
Away3.30 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.88 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Igea Virtus = 1.40 (league 1.34), Milazzo = 0.71 (league 1.09)

Milazzo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Igea Virtus 0 12.2% 8.6% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 17.0% 12.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 8.4% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.5% 3.9% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.1% · Draw 27.6% · Away win 19.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1