Gela vs Messina - footywow

Serie D - Girone I — Italy

Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Vincenzo Presti

Match Finished

Gela

1 - 0

Messina

Expected Goals

1.23 (league 1.35) 1.12 (league 1.07)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
38.3%	28.0%	33.4%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.1%

1 - 0

11.7%

0 - 1

10.7%

Score & goals probability table

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Gela	0	9.5%	10.7%	6.0%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	11.7%	13.1%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	7.2%	8.1%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	2.9%	3.3%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Gela	Messina
Played	5	5
Form	60%	53%
Attack	67%	20%
Defense	47%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	3 \| 0.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	8 \| 1.6	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

60%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Gela			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	9	19	10	9	19
Wins	50%	44%	47%	40%	33%	37%
Draws	0%	11%	5%	40%	44%	42%
Loses	50%	44%	47%	20%	22%	21%

Form: Gela: DWWWLLLLWLLWWLWWLLW • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLD

League goals

Metric	Gela			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	12	27	7	9	16
GF avg	1.5	1.3	1.4	0.7	1.0	0.8
GA total	12	9	21	6	10	16
GA avg	1.2	1.0	1.1	0.6	1.1	0.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Gela		Messina
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	63%	74%	58%	58%
1.5	42%	32%	21%	16%
2.5	26%	5%	5%	5%
3.5	11%	0%	0%	5%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Gela			Messina
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	2	5	5	3	8
Failed to score	3	4	7	4	4	8

Penalties

Metric	Gela	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	0

Streaks

Metric	Gela	Messina
Wins	3	2
Draws	1	2
Losses	4	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	1-4	2-1	1-3
Biggest losses	0-3	2-1	0-2	4-0
Goals For	4	4	2	3
Goals Against	3	2	2	4

Model comparison

Metric	Gela	Messina
Form	53%	47%
Att	77%	23%
Def	38%	62%
Poisson Distribution	53%	47%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	55.3%	44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gela or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet

Draw3.20 @ 1xBet

Away2.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ 1xBet

Under 2.51.77 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.74 @ 1xBet

No2.04 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

1xBet Updated: 2026-01-17T22:15:26+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.36
Draw	3.20
Away	2.75

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	1.73
Away +0	1.99
Home -1.5	4.40
Away -1.5	1.16
Home +1.5	1.11
Away +1.5	5.25

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.29
Under 1.5	3.15
Over 2.5	1.94
Under 2.5	1.77
Over 3.5	3.25
Under 3.5	1.28
Over 4.5	6.15
Under 4.5	1.09
Over 5.5	10.00
Under 5.5	1.02

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.74
No	2.04

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	5.20
2:0	7.40
2:1	6.20
3:0	16.00
3:1	13.00
3:2	20.00
4:0	45.00
4:1	35.00
0:0	6.18
1:1	4.00
2:2	8.80
0:1	5.80
0:2	8.80
0:3	21.00
1:2	6.60
1:3	15.00
2:3	22.00
3:3	45.00
0:4	70.00
1:4	50.00
2:4	70.00
4:2	60.00
0:5	100.00
0:6	100.00
1:5	100.00
1:6	100.00
2:5	100.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	100.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.29
Under 1.5	1.53
Over 2.5	4.85
Under 2.5	1.13
Over 0.5	1.28
Under 0.5	3.25

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.49
Under 1.5	1.43
Over 2.5	5.85
Under 2.5	1.10
Over 0.5	1.32
Under 0.5	2.92

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.80

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.97
Even	1.75

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	2.01
Even	1.72

Betano Updated: 2026-01-17T22:15:26+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.35
Draw	3.15
Away	2.70

Bet ID 2 — Home/Away

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Away	1.93

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.65
Draw	2.40
Away	2.95

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	1.88
Under 2.5	1.75

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.39
Under 0.5	2.45
Over 1.0	1.83
Under 1.0	1.72

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	13.00
Home/Away	30.00
Draw/Away	6.10
Draw/Draw	4.80
Home/Home	3.90
Draw/Home	5.40
Away/Home	28.00
Away/Draw	13.50
Away/Away	4.55

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.40
2:0	9.00
2:1	7.10
3:0	17.00
3:1	13.50
3:2	19.00
4:0	40.00
4:1	32.00
0:0	9.50
1:1	5.10
2:2	9.75
0:1	6.80
0:2	10.25
0:3	21.00
1:2	7.70
1:3	16.00
2:3	21.00
3:3	37.00
0:4	55.00
1:4	40.00
2:4	55.00
4:2	45.00
0:5	175.00
1:5	120.00
2:5	175.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	120.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	120.00
6:0	400.00
6:1	300.00
4:3	90.00
3:5	300.00
5:3	250.00
4:4	250.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	3.20
1st Half	3.05
2nd Half	1.95

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	3.35
2:0	8.25
2:1	12.50
3:0	27.00
3:1	40.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	110.00
4:1	175.00
0:0	2.45
1:1	5.00
2:2	32.00
0:1	3.55
0:2	9.50
0:3	35.00
1:2	13.50
1:3	50.00
2:3	110.00
0:4	150.00
1:4	200.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.38
Home/Away	1.29
Draw/Away	1.47

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	2.95
Draw	2.02
Away	3.35

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.28
Home/Away	1.62
Draw/Away	1.33

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.80

Bet ID 109 — Draw No Bet (1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Away	1.88

Bet ID 182 — Draw No Bet (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home	1.70
Away	1.88

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Gela vs Messina

Expected goals (λ): Gela = 1.23 (league 1.35), Messina = 1.12 (league 1.07)

		Messina
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Gela	0	9.5%	10.7%	6.0%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
	1	11.7%	13.1%	7.4%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
	2	7.2%	8.1%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	2.9%	3.3%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.9%	1.0%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.3% · Draw 28.0% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Gela	Messina
Scored (total \| %)	5 \| 100.00%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	0