Sun, Jan 18 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Grotta Polifemo
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.35) 0.60 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.7% 20.3% 10.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.5%
2 - 0
14.9%
3 - 0
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilazzoCastrumFavara
Played55
Form33%7%
Attack13%13%
Defense67%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milazzo CastrumFavara
HATHAT
Played9101991019
Wins56%30%42%33%10%21%
Draws33%20%26%44%10%26%
Loses11%50%32%22%80%53%

Form: Milazzo: DDLWDWLLWWLWWWWLDDL • CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Milazzo CastrumFavara
HATHAT
GF total126188816
GF avg1.30.60.90.90.80.8
GA total7121972027
GA avg0.81.21.00.82.01.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilazzoCastrumFavara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%58%63%79%
1.521%32%21%42%
2.50%11%0%16%
3.50%0%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilazzoCastrumFavara
HATHAT
Clean sheets538404
Failed to score145347

Penalties

MetricMilazzoCastrumFavara
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricMilazzoCastrumFavara
Wins41
Draws21
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-12-01-2
Biggest losses2-33-10-24-1
Goals For2122
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricMilazzoCastrumFavara
Form83%17%
Att50%50%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total70.3%29.8%

Advice: Double chance : Milazzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Betano
Draw3.30 @ 1xBet
Away2.99 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.86 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ 1xBet
No2.10 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milazzo = 1.92 (league 1.35), CastrumFavara = 0.60 (league 1.07)

CastrumFavara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 8.1% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 15.5% 9.2% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 9.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 4.6% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.7% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 10.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1