Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Falcone-Borsellino
Expected Goals
0.41 (league 1.34)
1.24 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.3% | 30.3% | 57.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
23.8%
0 - 0
19.2%
0 - 2
14.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paternò | 0 | 19.2% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Paternò | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 7% | 33% |
| Attack | 6% | 18% |
| Defense | 18% | 59% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Paternò | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 10 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 21 |
| Wins | 18% | 0% | 10% | 45% | 30% | 38% |
| Draws | 27% | 20% | 24% | 36% | 40% | 38% |
| Loses | 55% | 80% | 67% | 18% | 30% | 24% |
Form: Paternò: LDLDDWLLWLLLLLLDLDLLL • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLW
League goals
| Metric | Paternò | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 17 | 24 | 41 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 2.4 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Paternò | Messina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 38% | 76% | 57% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 5% | 62% | 24% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 5% | 38% | 5% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 5% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 5% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Paternò | Messina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 8 | 5 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Paternò | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Paternò | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 6 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | — | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Paternò | Messina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 17% | 83% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 22% | 78% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 29.4% | 70.6% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Messina
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Paternò = 0.41 (league 1.34), Messina = 1.24 (league 1.09)
| Messina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Paternò | 0 | 19.2% | 23.8% | 14.8% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.3% · Draw 30.3% · Away win 57.3%
vtt 2 , vtd1