Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Tupparello
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.33) 1.93 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 21.9% 44.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.8%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acireale 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAcirealeAC Palermo
Played55
Form27%80%
Attack53%65%
Defense41%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Acireale AC Palermo
HATHAT
Played111021111021
Wins18%20%19%64%40%52%
Draws55%20%38%27%20%24%
Loses27%60%43%9%40%24%

Form: Acireale: LDLLLDWWLWDDLWLLDDDDL • AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLWWWWL

League goals

Metric Acireale AC Palermo
HATHAT
GF total151126241438
GF avg1.41.11.22.21.41.8
GA total161733121527
GA avg1.51.71.61.11.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAcirealeAC Palermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%95%90%76%
1.533%52%67%43%
2.514%10%19%10%
3.50%0%5%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAcirealeAC Palermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets011325
Failed to score145022

Penalties

MetricAcirealeAC Palermo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricAcirealeAC Palermo
Wins24
Draws42
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-02-3
Biggest losses1-23-01-23-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricAcirealeAC Palermo
Form25%75%
Att45%55%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Marathonbet
Away2.07 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.95 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Marathonbet
No2.12 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Acireale = 1.58 (league 1.33), AC Palermo = 1.93 (league 1.09)

AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Acireale 0 3.0% 5.8% 5.6% 3.6% 1.7% 0.7%
1 4.7% 9.1% 8.8% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.7% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 44.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1