Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.90 (league 1.34) 0.74 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 34.7% 28.1%
best score tips
0 - 0
19.6%
1 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vibonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 19.6% 14.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastrumFavaraVibonese
Played55
Form0%33%
Attack0%29%
Defense47%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CastrumFavara Vibonese
HATHAT
Played101121101121
Wins30%9%19%50%9%29%
Draws40%9%24%10%64%38%
Loses30%82%57%40%27%33%

Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLDLLLLL • Vibonese: WDDLWDWWLLDWDLDLDDLLW

League goals

Metric CastrumFavara Vibonese
HATHAT
GF total8816131124
GF avg0.80.70.81.31.01.1
GA total82129101626
GA avg0.81.91.41.01.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastrumFavaraVibonese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%81%67%76%
1.519%38%38%33%
2.50%14%10%14%
3.50%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastrumFavaraVibonese
HATHAT
Clean sheets404325
Failed to score459347

Penalties

MetricCastrumFavaraVibonese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricCastrumFavaraVibonese
Wins12
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-10-2
Biggest losses0-24-11-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against2433

Model comparison

MetricCastrumFavaraVibonese
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total37.7%62.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vibonese

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.90 (league 1.34), Vibonese = 0.74 (league 1.09)

Vibonese
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 19.6% 14.4% 5.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.5% 12.9% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.8% 5.8% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 34.7% · Away win 28.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1