Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.94 (league 1.34) 1.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.0% 31.1% 36.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.4%
0 - 0
13.9%
1 - 1
13.5%
Score & goals probability table
AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 13.9% 14.4% 7.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambiaseAC Palermo
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack20%80%
Defense50%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambiase AC Palermo
HATHAT
Played131225131124
Wins23%50%36%62%45%54%
Draws54%17%36%31%18%25%
Loses23%33%28%8%36%21%

Form: Sambiase: LDWWDDWDLWWDWDLDLWWDLLLDW • AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLWWWWLWWD

League goals

Metric Sambiase AC Palermo
HATHAT
GF total121224261844
GF avg0.91.01.02.01.61.8
GA total91019131528
GA avg0.70.80.81.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambiaseAC Palermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%60%92%71%
1.528%16%63%38%
2.58%0%21%8%
3.50%0%8%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambiaseAC Palermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610437
Failed to score5510022

Penalties

MetricSambiaseAC Palermo
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total44

Streaks

MetricSambiaseAC Palermo
Wins24
Draws22
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-00-4
Biggest losses0-12-01-23-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricSambiaseAC Palermo
Form29%71%
Att20%80%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total33.3%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AC Palermo and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Betano
Draw3.20 @ Marathonbet
Away2.45 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.94 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.75 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 0.94 (league 1.34), AC Palermo = 1.03 (league 1.09)

AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 13.9% 14.4% 7.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.2% 6.3% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.9% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.0% · Draw 31.1% · Away win 36.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1