Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.34) 0.83 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 36.6% 36.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.3%
0 - 1
18.5%
1 - 0
15.0%
Score & goals probability table
Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 22.3% 18.5% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 12.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastrumFavaraMessina
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack40%60%
Defense10%20%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CastrumFavara Messina
HATHAT
Played121325131225
Wins33%8%20%38%33%36%
Draws33%8%20%31%42%36%
Loses33%85%60%31%25%28%

Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLDLLLLLWLLL • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDL

League goals

Metric CastrumFavara Messina
HATHAT
GF total11920111122
GF avg0.90.70.80.80.90.9
GA total122537131225
GA avg1.01.91.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastrumFavaraMessina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%84%60%64%
1.520%44%24%16%
2.50%16%4%8%
3.50%4%0%8%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastrumFavaraMessina
HATHAT
Clean sheets404549
Failed to score46105510

Penalties

MetricCastrumFavaraMessina
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricCastrumFavaraMessina
Wins12
Draws12
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-22-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-12-54-0
Goals For2223
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricCastrumFavaraMessina
Form30%70%
Att40%60%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total38.8%61.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Messina

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.15 @ Unibet
Draw3.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.57 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.23 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 0.67 (league 1.34), Messina = 0.83 (league 1.09)

Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 22.3% 18.5% 7.6% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 15.0% 12.4% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 5.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 36.6% · Away win 36.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1