Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 13:30 • Stadio Valentino Giordano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.26 (league 1.34) 1.03 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 28.2% 30.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
12.8%
0 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 10.1% 10.4% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGelbisonVigor Lamezia
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gelbison Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins42%46%44%58%23%40%
Draws8%38%24%8%23%16%
Loses50%15%32%33%54%44%

Form: Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWWLWDLWWWW • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWDDLWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Gelbison Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
GF total161632221133
GF avg1.31.21.31.80.81.3
GA total1792671724
GA avg1.40.71.00.61.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGelbisonVigor Lamezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%52%72%60%
1.540%28%32%24%
2.516%12%12%12%
3.54%4%8%0%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGelbisonVigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets48127310
Failed to score358437

Penalties

MetricGelbisonVigor Lamezia
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricGelbisonVigor Lamezia
Wins34
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-46-00-2
Biggest losses2-63-02-33-0
Goals For3462
Goals Against6333

Model comparison

MetricGelbisonVigor Lamezia
Form50%50%
Att48%52%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Gelbison or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.03 @ 1xBet
Draw3.14 @ Marathonbet
Away3.50 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.70 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.88 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gelbison = 1.26 (league 1.34), Vigor Lamezia = 1.03 (league 1.09)

Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 10.1% 10.4% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.8% 13.1% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.1% 8.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.4% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.1% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 30.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1