Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 14:00 •
Stadio San Filippo
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.34)
1.29 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.5% | 29.4% | 54.9% |
best score tips
0 - 1
20.8%
0 - 0
16.2%
0 - 2
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Nissa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 16.2% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Nissa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 73% |
| Attack | 31% | 38% |
| Defense | 50% | 81% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
41%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
61%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Nissa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 31% | 35% | 46% | 54% | 50% |
| Draws | 31% | 46% | 38% | 38% | 23% | 31% |
| Loses | 31% | 23% | 27% | 15% | 23% | 19% |
Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLD • Nissa: DLWWDDWWLWWLWLWDWDLDWWWWDD
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Nissa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 12 | 23 | 15 | 18 | 33 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 13 | 13 | 26 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Nissa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 65% | 81% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 15% | 31% | 19% |
| 2.5 | 4% | 8% | 12% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Nissa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Nissa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Nissa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Nissa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 33.5% | 66.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Nissa
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.54 (league 1.34), Nissa = 1.29 (league 1.09)
| Nissa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 16.2% | 20.8% | 13.3% | 5.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.7% | 11.2% | 7.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 2.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.5% · Draw 29.4% · Away win 54.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1