Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Guido D'Ippolito
Match Finished
2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 0.81 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.6% 31.4% 26.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 0
15.0%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Gela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 15.0% 12.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSambiaseGela
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack57%86%
Defense43%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sambiase Gela
HATHAT
Played141327141327
Wins21%54%37%57%31%44%
Draws50%15%33%7%15%11%
Loses29%31%30%36%54%44%

Form: Sambiase: LDWWDDWDLWWDWDLDLWWDLLLDWLW • Gela: DWWWLLLLWLLWWLWWLLWWLWLWDLD

League goals

Metric Sambiase Gela
HATHAT
GF total131326221436
GF avg0.91.01.01.61.11.3
GA total111021142135
GA avg0.80.80.81.01.61.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSambiaseGela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%59%67%74%
1.526%19%37%33%
2.57%0%22%11%
3.50%0%7%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSambiaseGela
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711527
Failed to score5510369

Penalties

MetricSambiaseGela
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricSambiaseGela
Wins23
Draws21
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-34-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-36-1
Goals For3344
Goals Against2236

Model comparison

MetricSambiaseGela
Form58%42%
Att40%60%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Sambiase or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sambiase = 1.09 (league 1.32), Gela = 0.81 (league 1.09)

Gela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sambiase 0 15.0% 12.1% 4.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 8.9% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.6% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 26.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1