Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio San Filippo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.43 (league 1.32) 1.10 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 33.3% 52.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
23.9%
0 - 0
21.8%
0 - 2
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 21.8% 23.9% 13.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.3% 10.2% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMessinaGelbison
Played55
Form20%60%
Attack22%100%
Defense56%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

56%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

56%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Messina Gelbison
HATHAT
Played141428141428
Wins36%29%32%36%43%39%
Draws29%50%39%21%43%32%
Loses36%21%29%43%14%29%

Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLDLD • Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWWLWDLWWWWDDD

League goals

Metric Messina Gelbison
HATHAT
GF total111223181735
GF avg0.80.90.81.31.21.3
GA total141327191029
GA avg1.00.91.01.40.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMessinaGelbison
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%64%71%57%
1.521%14%36%25%
2.54%7%14%11%
3.50%7%4%4%
4.50%4%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMessinaGelbison
HATHAT
Clean sheets55104812
Failed to score6612358

Penalties

MetricMessinaGelbison
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricMessinaGelbison
Wins24
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-4
Biggest losses2-54-02-63-0
Goals For2334
Goals Against5463

Model comparison

MetricMessinaGelbison
Form25%75%
Att18%82%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total38.3%61.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Gelbison and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.90 @ William Hill
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.38 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.57 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Superbet
No1.74 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.43 (league 1.32), Gelbison = 1.10 (league 1.09)

Gelbison
0 1 2 3 4 5
Messina 0 21.8% 23.9% 13.1% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3%
1 9.3% 10.2% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
2 2.0% 2.2% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 33.3% · Away win 52.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1