Sun, Mar 29 2026 • 14:30 •
Stadio Vincenzo Presti
Expected Goals
3.40 (league 1.32)
0.46 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 77.8% | 6.9% | 2.3% |
best score tips
3 - 0
13.8%
2 - 0
12.2%
4 - 0
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gela | 0 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gela | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 78% | 89% |
| Defense | 0% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.80
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
80%
FT probability
2.5+
56%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gela | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 29% | 43% | 27% | 0% | 14% |
| Draws | 7% | 14% | 11% | 27% | 15% | 21% |
| Loses | 36% | 57% | 46% | 47% | 85% | 64% |
Form: Gela: DWWWLLLLWLLWWLWWLLWWLWLWDLDL • Paternò: LDLDDWLLWLLLLLLDLDLLLLLWLWLD
League goals
| Metric | Gela | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 11 | 7 | 18 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 14 | 23 | 37 | 22 | 36 | 58 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gela | Paternò | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 75% | 43% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 14% | 61% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 11% | 7% | 36% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 0% | 18% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 7% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gela | Paternò | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gela | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gela | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 6 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 3-2 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-1 | 1-4 | 6-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gela | Paternò |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 48% | 52% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 60.6% | 39.4% |
Advice: Double chance : Gela or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gela = 3.40 (league 1.32), Paternò = 0.46 (league 1.09)
| Paternò | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gela | 0 | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 12.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 13.8% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 11.8% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 8.0% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.8% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 2.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1