Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Grotta Polifemo
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.32) 0.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.1% 27.8% 17.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.0%
0 - 0
13.0%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 13.0% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMilazzoVigor Lamezia
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack44%31%
Defense69%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Milazzo Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Played141428141529
Wins57%29%43%50%20%34%
Draws21%21%21%7%33%21%
Loses21%50%36%43%47%45%

Form: Milazzo: DDLWDWLLWWLWWWWLDDLWWLLWLLDW • Vigor Lamezia: WLWLDLLWLDWLLLLWDDLWWWWLWDLDL

League goals

Metric Milazzo Vigor Lamezia
HATHAT
GF total191029231336
GF avg1.40.71.01.60.91.2
GA total111829111930
GA avg0.81.31.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMilazzoVigor Lamezia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%61%72%66%
1.521%29%28%28%
2.54%14%10%10%
3.54%0%7%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMilazzoVigor Lamezia
HATHAT
Clean sheets83117310
Failed to score257538

Penalties

MetricMilazzoVigor Lamezia
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricMilazzoVigor Lamezia
Wins44
Draws22
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-26-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-10-23-0
Goals For4262
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricMilazzoVigor Lamezia
Form58%42%
Att58%42%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total59.5%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Milazzo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Milazzo = 1.38 (league 1.32), Vigor Lamezia = 0.66 (league 1.09)

Vigor Lamezia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Milazzo 0 13.0% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.0% 11.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 8.2% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.1% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 17.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1