Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Valentino Giordano
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.32) 2.06 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.3% 21.2% 51.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
1 - 1
9.1%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 3.2% 6.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGelbisonAC Palermo
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack56%50%
Defense75%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gelbison AC Palermo
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%47%41%60%50%55%
Draws21%40%31%27%14%21%
Loses43%13%28%13%36%24%

Form: Gelbison: WDLWDDDLWLDLLLWWWLWDLWWWWDDDW • AC Palermo: DWDDWLDWWLWWLWDLWWWWLWWDWWWLL

League goals

Metric Gelbison AC Palermo
HATHAT
GF total181937302252
GF avg1.31.31.32.01.61.8
GA total191130162036
GA avg1.40.71.01.11.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGelbisonAC Palermo
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%59%86%76%
1.538%24%62%38%
2.514%10%21%10%
3.53%3%10%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGelbisonAC Palermo
HATHAT
Clean sheets4812437
Failed to score358134

Penalties

MetricGelbisonAC Palermo
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricGelbisonAC Palermo
Wins44
Draws32
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-44-00-4
Biggest losses2-63-01-23-0
Goals For3444
Goals Against6323

Model comparison

MetricGelbisonAC Palermo
Form50%50%
Att53%47%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total52.8%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Palermo

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Dafabet
Draw3.12 @ Marathonbet
Away2.41 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Superbet
No2.10 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gelbison = 1.38 (league 1.32), AC Palermo = 2.06 (league 1.09)

AC Palermo
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gelbison 0 3.2% 6.6% 6.8% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0%
1 4.4% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.0% 6.3% 6.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.4% 2.9% 3.0% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.3% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 51.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1