Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Alfredo Giraud
Match Finished
2 - 0
Expected Goals
1.16 (league 1.32) 0.66 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.5% 31.2% 21.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.7%
0 - 0
16.2%
1 - 1
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Savoia 0 16.2% 10.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSavoiaMessina
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack38%13%
Defense81%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Savoia Messina
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins57%47%52%33%29%31%
Draws43%20%31%27%50%38%
Loses0%33%17%40%21%31%

Form: Savoia: DDWWDDWLWWWLWWLWLWDWDDWWDWDLW • Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLDLDL

League goals

Metric Savoia Messina
HATHAT
GF total242650121224
GF avg1.71.71.70.80.90.8
GA total111627161329
GA avg0.81.10.91.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSavoiaMessina
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%69%59%66%
1.552%17%21%17%
2.521%7%3%7%
3.57%0%0%7%
4.53%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSavoiaMessina
HATHAT
Clean sheets5495510
Failed to score1346612

Penalties

MetricSavoiaMessina
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSavoiaMessina
Wins32
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-62-11-3
Biggest losses—3-12-54-0
Goals For4623
Goals Against2354

Model comparison

MetricSavoiaMessina
Form80%20%
Att75%25%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h88%13%
Goals75%25%
Total74.5%25.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Savoia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ 188Bet
Draw4.20 @ Dafabet
Away7.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Superbet
No1.71 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Savoia = 1.16 (league 1.32), Messina = 0.66 (league 1.09)

Messina
0 1 2 3 4 5
Savoia 0 16.2% 10.7% 3.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.7% 12.4% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.8% 7.2% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.2% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.5% · Draw 31.2% · Away win 21.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1