Thu, Apr 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.32) 0.91 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.2% 30.7% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
0 - 0
13.5%
1 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Acireale
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCastrumFavaraAcireale
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack44%44%
Defense56%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric CastrumFavara Acireale
HATHAT
Played141529151429
Wins36%13%24%27%21%24%
Draws36%7%21%40%21%31%
Loses29%80%55%33%57%45%

Form: CastrumFavara: WDWLLDLWLDLDWLLDLLLLLWLLLDWWL • Acireale: LDLLLDWWLWDDLWLLDDDDLLDLWLWWL

League goals

Metric CastrumFavara Acireale
HATHAT
GF total131326201535
GF avg0.90.90.91.31.11.2
GA total132942232346
GA avg0.91.91.41.51.61.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCastrumFavaraAcireale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.566%83%79%90%
1.524%41%28%52%
2.50%17%14%14%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCastrumFavaraAcireale
HATHAT
Clean sheets505123
Failed to score4610246

Penalties

MetricCastrumFavaraAcireale
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCastrumFavaraAcireale
Wins22
Draws14
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-11-3
Biggest losses1-34-10-43-0
Goals For2233
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricCastrumFavaraAcireale
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h67%33%
Goals60%40%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : CastrumFavara or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.30 @ Betano
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.17 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.65 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.90 @ Superbet
No1.83 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): CastrumFavara = 1.09 (league 1.32), Acireale = 0.91 (league 1.09)

Acireale
0 1 2 3 4 5
CastrumFavara 0 13.5% 12.3% 5.6% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.7% 13.4% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.0% 7.3% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.2% · Draw 30.7% · Away win 30.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1