Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio San Filippo
Expected Goals
0.73 (league 1.32)
0.30 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 41.9% | 44.0% | 14.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.7%
1 - 0
25.9%
0 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Ragusa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 35.7% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 53% |
| Attack | 15% | 23% |
| Defense | 54% | 77% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
35%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 15 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 30 |
| Wins | 33% | 27% | 30% | 33% | 13% | 23% |
| Draws | 27% | 47% | 37% | 40% | 33% | 37% |
| Loses | 40% | 27% | 33% | 27% | 53% | 40% |
Form: Messina: DWLWDDWDWLDWLDWWDLDLWWLDLDLDLL • Ragusa: DLLDDLDLLWLWDDDWLDLDWLLLWWDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 16 | 15 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 31 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Messina | Ragusa | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 67% | 43% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 20% | 17% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 7% | 3% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 17 |
Penalties
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 4-0 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Messina | Ragusa |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 20% | 80% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 43.2% | 56.8% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ragusa and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Messina = 0.73 (league 1.32), Ragusa = 0.30 (league 1.09)
| Ragusa | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Messina | 0 | 35.7% | 10.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.9% | 7.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 9.4% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.9% · Draw 44.0% · Away win 14.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1