Sun, Apr 19 2026 • 13:00 •
Stadio Comunale Giovanni Bruccoleri
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.34)
0.85 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 40.2% | 31.3% | 28.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gela | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| CastrumFavara | 0 | 14.6% | 12.4% | 5.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.7% | 13.3% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.4% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 67% |
| Defense | 17% | 17% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
67%
FT probability
2.5+
47%
FT probability
3.5+
34%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 15 | 16 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 31 |
| Wins | 33% | 19% | 26% | 56% | 27% | 42% |
| Draws | 40% | 6% | 23% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Loses | 27% | 75% | 52% | 31% | 60% | 45% |
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GelaDWWWLLLLWLLWWLWWLLWWLWLWDLDLWLD
League goals
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 16 | 30 | 24 | 15 | 39 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 14 | 29 | 43 | 15 | 24 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | CastrumFavara | Gela | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 81% | 65% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 26% | 39% | 35% | 32% |
| 2.5 | 3% | 16% | 19% | 10% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 5 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | CastrumFavara | Gela |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 54.2% | 45.8% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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