Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Sep 19 2025 • 11:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.19 (league 1.43) 0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.6% 5.9% 3.0%
best score tips
4 - 0
8.5%
3 - 0
8.2%
5 - 0
7.2%
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Played22
Form67%17%
Attack29%14%
Defense86%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 11 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%0%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%100%50%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Ironi Baka El Garbiya: DW • Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed: LD

League goals

Metric Ironi Baka El Garbiya Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
GF total202011
GF avg2.00.01.00.01.00.5
GA total101033
GA avg1.00.00.50.03.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%50%50%
1.550%0%0%50%
2.50%0%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1———
Biggest losses———3-1
Goals For2001
Goals Against1003

Model comparison

MetricIroni Baka El GarbiyaMaccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h85%15%
Goals69%31%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Winner : Ironi Baka El Garbiya

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.45 @ Marathonbet
Away8.75 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.85 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.38 @ 1xBet
No1.51 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ironi Baka El Garbiya = 4.19 (league 1.43), Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed = 0.82 (league 1.22)

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ironi Baka El Garbiya 0 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.8% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.2% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.5% 7.0% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
5 7.2% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.6% · Draw 5.9% · Away win 3.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1