Liga Alef — Israel
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 10:45 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.49 (league 1.43) 0.12 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.2% 57.5% 7.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
54.1%
1 - 0
26.6%
0 - 1
6.7%
Score & goals probability table
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 54.1% 6.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Played23
Form100%22%
Attack21%7%
Defense93%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 0.7

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

36%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%67%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm: WW • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek: DDL

League goals

Metric Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
GF total123101
GF avg1.02.01.50.50.00.3
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.00.51.00.00.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%33%33%
1.550%0%0%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
HATHAT
Clean sheets101112
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Wins20
Draws02
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-2——
Biggest losses——1-2—
Goals For1210
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricTzeirei Umm al-FahmHapoel Migdal HaEmek
Form75%25%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h33%67%
Goals40%60%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Bet365
Draw3.10 @ Pinnacle
Away3.02 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.79 @ Marathonbet
No1.90 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm = 0.49 (league 1.43), Hapoel Migdal HaEmek = 0.12 (league 1.22)

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 0 54.1% 6.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 3.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.2% · Draw 57.5% · Away win 7.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1